Crypto Price Forecast: Dormant Bitcoin Moves, Litecoin Bulls Target Highs, and Dogecoin Faces Bearish Pressure

The value of Bitcoin (BTC) returned to $97,800 on Monday after a large price fall last week. Bitcoin prices moved because CryptoQuant showed major market signals that 14,000 BTC was left in storage, and exchange activity jumped back to FTX collapse levels.

Market data reveals that 14,000 BTC moved on Monday because these funds had been unchanged from 2009 to 2012. 

Despite the many transactions, these assets show no sign of going to an exchange, indicating seller intent. Buyers who secured these coins for less money may decide to sell them later.

Market statistics show that Bitcoin has been pushed into circulation more than usual compared to 2022. The chart shows that exchange transactions now equal those from the FTX crash period, and exchanges lost 3% of their BTC supply.

In July 2022, a record number of BTC coins left the market precisely matches this week’s transfer volume. Major funds and institutional buyers step in to purchase Bitcoin during price dips because they expect rising prices over the long run despite present market uncertainty.

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People now slightly more believe that Bitcoin rates will hit $200,000 before the end of 2025. Nick Forster of Derive.xyz predicts an increasing 12% probability for Bitcoin to surpass $200,000 by December 2025 based on his analysis of Bitcoin market trends.

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Hits Record High Amid Miner Capitulation Signals

Bitcoin’s processing network reached its highest point in history, 114.7 trillion after miners made the difficulty 5.6% harder during the weekend. The network hash rate is growing stronger, drawing more mining competition across operations.

The Hash Ribbon market indicator shows miners giving up operations when mining expenses surpass their returns, while this pattern indicates market turning points. Historically, miners who sell off their Bitcoin set up market rebounds as the index tracks selling patterns before price improvements occur.

On Glassnode, data shows that miner capitulation started in early February when Bitcoin values dropped 4% since the beginning of the month. Experts discovered that local BTC floor markers arise when mining operators give up in past instances. Bitcoin may stop falling below $91,000 if miners’ selling activity remains intact. A prior BTC mining capitulation in October led to a 50% rise in BTC prices during its next market recovery.

The Bitcoin hash rate hit an all-time high on February 4 before a fresh mining difficulty surge occurred. The system increases mining difficulty every 2016 block, bringing the block production time back to ten minutes. When mining becomes more demanding, it brings additional competition, making it unprofitable for miners to operate.

According to mining production data from January, Riot Platforms emerged as the sole major publicly traded mining company to boost output in its industry sector during this period. Several mining companies face escalating business problems that stop them from producing at past levels.

Bitcoin Faces Volatility Amid Trade Tensions and Economic Indicators

Trading firm QCP Capital from Singapore published its market report on Monday to share information about current financial market impacts. Market uncertainty increased after DeepSeek’s trading shift two weeks ago and tariffs, which were later established a week ago. 

Former President Donald Trump introduced 25% steel and aluminum tariffs, which sent markets into turmoil before the release of the Consumer Price Index data and Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s speech.

US trade policy creates worry because it poses new risks for Mexico and Canada, which send steel to the United States as their main trading partners. An analyst study shows the temporary tariff hold may be ending soon. Trump’s threat to impose sanctions on Japan comes right after his administration rejected Nippon Steels’ merger with U.S. Steel, while Japan is a key U.S. ally.

According to QCP Capital’s observations, Bitcoin’s put option valuations indicate that there will be limited bullish supporters until April. According to analyst Forster, the odds of BTC breaking past $135,000 before Q2 ends now stand at 15 percent compared to 14 percent.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Bears Eyeing the $90,000 Level

Bitcoin hit the $100,000 price level last week but failed to maintain its position, dropping by 2% during the next 7 days. BTC has begun its minimal recovery by trading near $97,800 since Monday.

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Bitcoin prices will continue to move downward until there is significant buying demand. The daily chart Relative Strength Index shows a weak downward trend because its current reading of 45 stayed below the neutral 50 mark last week. The MACD sign points to an upcoming drop in price as its indicator lines crossed below.

Experts expect BTC to test the $90,000 low mark if it moves downward. If BTC holds past $100,000, it will challenge the $106,012 January top.

Market participants must follow economic data and geopolitical events as these elements strongly impact Bitcoin price movements.

Dogecoin Faces Continued Downtrend 

Despite being valued at $0.24, Dogecoin shows steady depreciation and faced a 7% decrease last week. Technical studies show a possible price pullback because momentum-measuring tools indicate downward market movement. The data from Santiment highlights that investors show decreased confidence in Dogecoin as whale trading numbers take a significant dive.

Whale Activity Plummets as Dogecoin Declines

Since January middle, Dogecoin has suffered a more than 30 percent depreciation in value while remaining on a downward trajectory. The Santiment data shows a clear reduction in whale transactions, matching Dogecoin’s price decrease.

Statistical examination of transactions shows significantly fewer payments made in large amounts. In November, weekly transactions exceeding 100,000 decreased from 20,200 to 6,200. The 850 large-scale trades after 3,490 trades of more than $1 million show whales are pulling back from DOGE.

Dogecoin Price Analysis

Last week, the value of Dogecoin was reduced by 7.15 percent after falling below 50% of its retracement area between August 14 ($0.05) and December 2 ($0.48) at $0.27. On Monday, DOGE started weak, with a price of $0.24, because trading had yet to strengthen.

If selling pressure continues, the potential collapse in DOGE value could reach new weekly support at $0.18.

Momentum indicators show that prices will likely go down. The Weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 48 below 50, showing that more investors want to sell their Dogecoin. The weekly MACD indicator has demonstrated that buying pressure has weakened, which means DOGE will probably continue its downward movement.

The declining whale movement and negative market indicators make it hard for Dogecoin to recover against strong bearish sentiment.

Litecoin Surges 8% Amid Bullish Momentum, Eyes Further Gains

On February 12, 2025, Litecoin (LTC) gained more than 8% to trade at around $116.00, returning to a vital support area the previous week. The market indicators show that LTC might keep rising based on its long-to-short ratio reading. Market players need to monitor Litecoin closely because increased Network Realized Profit/Loss shows buying and selling plans from investors, which might weaken the market.

Litecoin Price Analysis

Litecoin dropped in price last week and met its 200-week Exponential Moving Average set at $86.22 before springing back up. In the previous part of the week, LTC surpassed its weekly support mark at $96.30, which proved effective in its continued recovery. The market reversal happened after Litecoin held and recovered from a downward trendline created by weekly high points starting in March 2022.

The price of Litecoin stays strong this Monday, near $116.63. Market professionals predict LTC’s upward movement will continue as it tries to reach its December 5 high of $147.06.

Technical tools indicate investors are increasingly purchasing the coin. The weekly Relative Strength Index measures 57% buyer demand, which crosses the 50-neutral mark, indicating that buyers outnumber sellers and that the uptrend is strengthening.

The market still shows positive sentiment, yet traders must watch for buying stops and profit sales that might temporarily steer price direction.

Litecoin’s Long-to-Short Ratio Signals Bullish Momentum

Data from marketplaces shows more confidence in Litecoin (LTC) traders because Coinglass’s long-to-short ratio keeps moving upwards. Litecoin traders started becoming more optimistic in early February, and they maintained this trend, as their ratio of long to short bets now stands at 1.07. A ratio above one shows that most market participants choose to buy Litecoin now and expect its price to increase.

Watch out since both on-chain analytics show traders are preparing to sell. Network Realized Profit/Loss data from Santiment shows Litecoin holders are selling large amounts of their tokens after achieving substantial gains. Market prices usually drop when traders sell their profits following NPL spikes, which occurred several times in past market cycles.

Litecoin’s NPL figure suddenly increased from 1.39 to 51.59 million from Thursday to Friday. This development shows increased profit-taking behavior from traders. Though trading remains mainly bullish, the sharp rise in profits indicates that more selling pressure may slow down the market. Traders must follow NPL and CMF trends to forecast how much LTC’s price will rise or fall over the next few days.